Gavi
CMSpain · FC Barcelona
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierLaLiga
Gavi
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Barcelona
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 173 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Gavi at €30M. Model A, which never saw Gavi during training, estimates €14.8M: the market value is 103% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 55
- Minutes
- 2,387
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 28/55
- Min / app
- 43
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gavi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
18% this player0% midfielder median81st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25M
- Oct 2021
- Peak
- €90M
- Nov 2022
- Model target
- €30M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 0 club changes
Jun 2026: €30M, FC Barcelona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-13 | €25M | FC Barcelona |
| 2021-12-30 | €40M | FC Barcelona |
| 2022-03-21 | €60M | FC Barcelona |
| 2022-06-03 | €60M | FC Barcelona |
| 2022-09-23 | €70M | FC Barcelona |
| 2022-11-07 | €90M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-06-13 | €90M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-12-22 | €90M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-06-07 | €90M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-12-27 | €80M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-03-21 | €70M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-06-09 | €60M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-10-02 | €40M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-12-12 | €40M | FC Barcelona |
| 2026-03-16 | €30M | FC Barcelona |
| 2026-06-05 | €30M | FC Barcelona |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.710
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 93% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gavi appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MikautadzeCFVillarreal CF · LaLiga€30M
- GarcíaCFReal Madrid · LaLiga€30M
- MuñozLWCA Osasuna · LaLiga€30M
- JauregizarCMAthletic Bilbao · LaLiga€30M
- TielemansCMAston Villa · midfielders€30M
- McKennieCMJuventus FC · midfielders€30M
- RuizCMParis Saint-Germain · midfielders€30M
- AmpaduDMLeeds United · midfielders€30M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).