FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Elias

Achouri

LWTunisia · FC Copenhagen

№ 645589Established €2.7M +0.09

Player dossierSuperliga

EliasAchouri

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Tunisia
Age
27
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Achouri at €3M. Model A, which never saw Achouri during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €2.7M▼ −0.39B €4.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
3,361
Goals
5
Assists
5
Started
39/52
Min / app
65
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Achouri…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Elias Achouri's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 20th, Assists per 90 45th, Minutes, two years 72nd, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 94th20thGoals45thAssists72ndMinutes76thStarts76thRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

30% this player0% attacker median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Nov 2021
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2024
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
12
2 club changes
May 2026€3MFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-11-05€150kCD Trofense
2022-04-01€175kCD Trofense
2022-06-27€300kCD Trofense
2022-12-22€350kViborg FF
2023-06-26€600kViborg FF
2023-09-19€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2023-12-21€2.5MFC Copenhagen
2024-06-10€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2024-12-09€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2025-06-16€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2025-12-15€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€3MFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.092

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 83% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Achouri appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).