FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Vladyslav

Vanat

CFUkraine · Girona FC

№ 631821Elite €35.1M −0.85

Player dossierLaLiga

VladyslavVanat

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Girona FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
24
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vanat at €15M. Model A, which never saw Vanat during training, estimates €35.1M: the market value is 57% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €38.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.85A €35.1M▼ −0.95B €38.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
81
Minutes
5,952
Goals
34
Assists
13
Started
71/81
Min / app
73
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vanat…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €15MModel A €35.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vladyslav Vanat's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 69th, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 91st, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 89th90thGoals69thAssists97thMinutes91stStarts88thRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,952 this player2,242 attacker median97th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2021
Peak
€15M
Jun 2025
Model target
€15M
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
Jun 2026€15MGirona FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €15M, Girona FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-07€100kDynamo Kyiv II
2021-09-03€200kChornomorets Odesa
2021-12-20€300kChornomorets Odesa
2022-05-18€300kDynamo Kyiv
2022-09-06€400kDynamo Kyiv
2022-12-06€800kDynamo Kyiv
2023-06-21€2MDynamo Kyiv
2023-12-11€3MDynamo Kyiv
2024-03-18€7MDynamo Kyiv
2024-06-06€10MDynamo Kyiv
2024-12-17€11MDynamo Kyiv
2025-06-10€15MDynamo Kyiv
2025-12-12€15MGirona FC
2026-06-05€15MGirona FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.851

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 80% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vanat appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).