Gabriel
Veron
RWBrazil · CD Nacional
Player dossierLiga Portugal
GabrielVeron
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- CD Nacional
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Veron at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Veron during training, estimates €751k: the market value is 233% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €760k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 13
- Minutes
- 831
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 11/13
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Veron…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
85% this player59% attacker median89th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €7M
- Nov 2019
- Peak
- €25M
- Feb 2020
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, CD Nacional. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-27 | €7M | SE Palmeiras São Paulo U20 |
| 2020-02-20 | €25M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2020-04-08 | €22.5M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2020-09-09 | €25M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2021-02-09 | €25M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2021-05-28 | €18M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2021-09-10 | €16M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2021-12-17 | €15M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2022-04-06 | €12M | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras |
| 2022-11-01 | €12M | FC Porto |
| 2023-06-16 | €11M | FC Porto |
| 2023-12-27 | €8M | FC Porto |
| 2024-03-28 | €8M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2024-06-17 | €7M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2024-12-09 | €7M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2025-03-28 | €5.5M | Santos FC |
| 2025-06-06 | €5M | Santos FC |
| 2025-09-05 | €4M | Esporte Clube Juventude |
| 2025-12-10 | €3M | Esporte Clube Juventude |
| 2026-05-28 | €2.5M | CD Nacional |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.203
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 64% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Veron appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GrillitschDMSC Braga · Liga Portugal€2.5M
- SamuAMVitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal€2.5M
- LivolantRWCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€2.5M
- MendesLBVitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal€2.5M
- KramaricSSTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · attackers€2.5M
- AubameyangCFOlympique Marseille · attackers€2.5M
- ZapataCFTorino FC · attackers€2.5M
- PléaCFPSV Eindhoven · attackers€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).