FairValue

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Vladyslav

Semotyuk

CMUkraine · Vorskla Poltava

№ 625144Emerging €168k −0.52

Player dossierPremier Liha

VladyslavSemotyuk

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Vorskla Poltava
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
25
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Semotyuk at €100k. Model A, which never saw Semotyuk during training, estimates €168k: the market value is 41% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €534k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.52A €168k▼ −1.68B €534k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
735
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
6/19
Min / app
39
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Semotyuk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €168k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Vladyslav Semotyuk's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 91st, Minutes, two years 7th, Starts 6th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th10thGoals91stAssists7thMinutes6thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.09 midfielder median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2019
Peak
€150k
Jun 2023
Model target
€100k
Dec 2025
Valuations
14
4 club changes
Dec 2025€100kVorskla PoltavaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €100k, Vorskla Poltava. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-12-18€25kPrykarpattya-Blago Ivano-Frankivsk
2020-08-18€50kPrykarpattya-Blago Ivano-Frankivsk
2020-12-05€50kPrykarpattya-Blago Ivano-Frankivsk
2021-06-17€75kPrykarpattya-Blago Ivano-Frankivsk
2021-12-06€125kPrykarpattya-Blago Ivano-Frankivsk
2022-05-18€125kPrykarpattya-Blago Ivano-Frankivsk
2022-09-06€100kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2022-12-06€100kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-06-21€150kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-12-11€150kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-06-06€150kFC Minaj
2024-12-17€100kRukh Lviv
2025-09-10€100kVorskla Poltava
2025-12-18€100kVorskla Poltava

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.521

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 0% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Semotyuk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).