Aleksandr
Belenov
GKRussia · FC Ufa
Player dossierPremier Liga
AleksandrBelenov
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- FC Ufa
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 39
- Height
- 198 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Belenov at €50k. Model A, which never saw Belenov during training, estimates €109k: the market value is 54% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €97k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 24
- Minutes
- 2,160
- Started
- 24/24
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Belenov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €50k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Nov 2007
- Peak
- €8.5M
- Feb 2015
- Model target
- €50k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 35
- 7 club changes
Dec 2025: €50k, FC Ufa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2007-11-19 | €50k | Salyut Belgorod |
| 2010-05-02 | €500k | Salyut Belgorod |
| 2011-05-12 | €200k | Spartak Moscow |
| 2011-07-21 | €200k | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2011-09-03 | €400k | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2011-12-15 | €800k | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2012-07-02 | €1.2M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2013-01-20 | €3M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2013-06-19 | €6.5M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2014-03-28 | €7M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2014-07-31 | €7.5M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2015-02-23 | €8.5M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2015-06-18 | €8M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2016-01-06 | €6M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2016-05-25 | €4M | Kuban Krasnodar (-2018) |
| 2016-12-27 | €5M | Anzhi Makhachkala |
| 2017-06-01 | €6M | FC Ufa |
| 2017-12-23 | €6M | FC Ufa |
| 2018-06-06 | €6M | FC Ufa |
| 2018-12-20 | €4.5M | FC Ufa |
| 2019-06-14 | €3M | FC Ufa |
| 2019-12-23 | €2.5M | FC Ufa |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | FC Ufa |
| 2020-07-29 | €2M | FC Ufa |
| 2020-12-29 | €1.5M | FC Ufa |
| 2021-06-02 | €1.2M | FC Ufa |
| 2021-12-29 | €1M | FC Ufa |
| 2022-06-02 | €700k | FC Ufa |
| 2022-12-08 | €400k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2023-06-19 | €250k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2023-12-13 | €250k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2024-06-04 | €250k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2024-12-12 | €200k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2025-06-04 | €100k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2025-12-03 | €50k | FC Ufa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.775
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
The joint lowest observed value among 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 0% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Belenov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- UtsievRBAkhmat Grozny · Premier Liga€50k
- IvanovAMRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€100k
- ErokhinAMZenit St. Petersburg · Premier Liga€100k
- ZotovCMRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€100k
- GordonGKHeart of Midlothian FC · goalkeepers€50k
- HansenGKAarhus GF · goalkeepers€50k
- LösslGKFC Midtjylland · goalkeepers€50k
- DeğirmenciGKKocaelispor · goalkeepers€50k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).