FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Georgiy

Sudakov

AMUkraine · SL Benfica

№ 623325Elite €26.3M −0.05

Player dossierLiga Portugal

GeorgiySudakov

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
SL Benfica
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
23
Height
177 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sudakov at €25M. Model A, which never saw Sudakov during training, estimates €26.3M: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €22.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €26.3M▲ +0.09B €22.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
80
Minutes
6,059
Goals
19
Assists
11
Started
69/80
Min / app
76
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sudakov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €25MModel A €26.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Georgiy Sudakov's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 80th, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 96th92ndGoals75thAssists95thMinutes80thStarts91stRecent96thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

30% this player0% midfielder median96th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2020
Peak
€35M
Jun 2024
Model target
€25M
May 2026
Valuations
18
2 club changes
May 2026€25MSL BenficaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €25M, SL Benfica. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-16€100kShakhtar Donetsk II
2021-01-14€400kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-05-27€800kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-09-03€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-12-20€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-05-18€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-12-06€6MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-03-28€9MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-06-21€11MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-07-12€15MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€18MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-03-18€25MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€35MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-12-17€32MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-06-10€32MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-12-18€30MSL Benfica
2026-03-19€28MSL Benfica
2026-05-28€25MSL Benfica

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.052

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 93% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sudakov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).