Denys
Ustymenko
CFUkraine · Obolon Kyiv
Player dossierPremier Liha
DenysUstymenko
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Obolon Kyiv
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ustymenko at €400k. Model A, which never saw Ustymenko during training, estimates €493k: the market value is 19% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 51
- Minutes
- 2,583
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 33/51
- Min / app
- 51
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ustymenko…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
65% this player59% attacker median60th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- May 2019
- Peak
- €400k
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €400k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €400k, Obolon Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-07 | €50k | FC Oleksandriya II |
| 2020-01-08 | €100k | FC Oleksandriya II |
| 2020-09-04 | €100k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2021-01-14 | €200k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2021-06-07 | €200k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2021-12-20 | €300k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2022-05-18 | €300k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2022-12-06 | €200k | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig |
| 2023-06-21 | €300k | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig |
| 2023-12-11 | €200k | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig |
| 2024-06-06 | €350k | FC Minaj |
| 2024-12-17 | €350k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2025-03-21 | €300k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2025-06-10 | €300k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2025-12-18 | €300k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2026-03-23 | €400k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2026-06-02 | €400k | Obolon Kyiv |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.208
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ustymenko appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KyryukhantsevRBEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · Premier Liha€400k
- BurdaCBKolos Kovalivka · Premier Liha€400k
- KharatinDMNK Veres Rivne · Premier Liha€400k
- PolegenkoRBObolon Kyiv · Premier Liha€400k
- SansoneLWUS Lecce · attackers€400k
- LapadulaCFSpezia Calcio · attackers€400k
- RosaLWPanetolikos · attackers€400k
- IljinCFFC Sochi · attackers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).