YuriBerchiche

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club: Athletic Bilbao
League: LaLiga
Nationality: Spain
Age: 36
Height: 181 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Berchiche at €1M. Model A, which never saw Berchiche during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 83
Minutes: 6,424
Goals: 1
Assists: 10
Started: 70/83
Min / app: 77
Cards: 15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Berchiche…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,424 this player2,860 defender median95th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €300k; Jul 2013
Peak: €20M; Jul 2018
Model target: €1M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 33; 3 club changes

Jun 2026€1MAthletic BilbaoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Athletic Bilbao. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2013-07-22	€300k	SD Eibar
2013-10-08	€400k	SD Eibar
2014-02-06	€600k	SD Eibar
2014-07-20	€2M	Real Sociedad
2015-01-23	€2M	Real Sociedad
2015-04-09	€2.5M	Real Sociedad
2015-07-01	€2.5M	Real Sociedad
2016-02-22	€3M	Real Sociedad
2016-07-15	€3M	Real Sociedad
2017-01-24	€4M	Real Sociedad
2017-06-05	€10M	Real Sociedad
2018-01-24	€15M	Paris Saint-Germain
2018-03-20	€17M	Paris Saint-Germain
2018-06-04	€17M	Paris Saint-Germain
2018-07-12	€20M	Athletic Bilbao
2018-12-21	€20M	Athletic Bilbao
2019-06-11	€20M	Athletic Bilbao
2019-12-20	€20M	Athletic Bilbao
2020-04-08	€16M	Athletic Bilbao
2020-10-08	€16M	Athletic Bilbao
2021-01-05	€16M	Athletic Bilbao
2021-06-10	€12M	Athletic Bilbao
2021-10-13	€8M	Athletic Bilbao
2021-12-30	€4M	Athletic Bilbao
2022-06-03	€3M	Athletic Bilbao
2022-11-07	€2M	Athletic Bilbao
2023-06-13	€2M	Athletic Bilbao
2023-12-22	€2M	Athletic Bilbao
2024-06-07	€1.8M	Athletic Bilbao
2024-12-27	€1.5M	Athletic Bilbao
2025-06-09	€1.4M	Athletic Bilbao
2025-12-12	€1.2M	Athletic Bilbao
2026-06-05	€1M	Athletic Bilbao

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.190

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 8% of the 509 LaLiga players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Berchiche appears

TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).