Jenson
Seelt
CBNetherlands · VfL Wolfsburg
Player dossierBundesliga
JensonSeelt
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- VfL Wolfsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 195 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Seelt at €5M. Model A, which never saw Seelt during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 147% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €612k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 13
- Minutes
- 862
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 10/13
- Min / app
- 66
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Seelt…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
77% this player83% defender median38th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Mar 2021
- Peak
- €5M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €5M, VfL Wolfsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-16 | €25k | PSV U18 |
| 2022-01-12 | €400k | PSV Eindhoven U21 |
| 2022-06-23 | €400k | PSV Eindhoven U21 |
| 2023-04-03 | €600k | PSV Eindhoven U21 |
| 2023-07-04 | €2M | Sunderland AFC |
| 2023-12-21 | €2M | Sunderland AFC |
| 2024-05-24 | €2M | Sunderland AFC |
| 2024-12-30 | €2M | Sunderland AFC |
| 2025-05-27 | €2M | Sunderland AFC |
| 2025-12-19 | €5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2026-05-27 | €5M | VfL Wolfsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.906
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 46% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Seelt appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OrbánCBRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€5M
- GinterCBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€5M
- GuerreiroLBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€5M
- VavroCBVfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga€5M
- TarkowskiCBEverton FC · defenders€5M
- LindelöfCBAston Villa · defenders€5M
- MartínLBGenoa CFC · defenders€5M
- NicolaisenCBFC Toulouse · defenders€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).