Igor
Matanovic
CFCroatia · SC Freiburg
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
IgorMatanovic
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- SC Freiburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 194 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Matanovic at €22M. Model A, which never saw Matanovic during training, estimates €15.4M: the market value is 43% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €17M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 74
- Minutes
- 3,219
- Goals
- 17
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 30/74
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Matanovic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €22M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
31% this player0% attacker median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Feb 2021
- Peak
- €22M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €22M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €22M, SC Freiburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-08 | €500k | FC St. Pauli |
| 2021-06-16 | €500k | FC St. Pauli |
| 2021-12-15 | €1M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2022-06-16 | €1M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2022-11-30 | €1M | FC St. Pauli |
| 2023-03-31 | €800k | FC St. Pauli |
| 2023-06-28 | €800k | FC St. Pauli |
| 2023-12-15 | €1M | Karlsruher SC |
| 2024-03-22 | €4M | Karlsruher SC |
| 2024-06-06 | €5M | Karlsruher SC |
| 2024-10-09 | €8M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2024-12-20 | €8M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-03-27 | €6M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-06-05 | €5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-10-14 | €7M | SC Freiburg |
| 2025-12-19 | €7M | SC Freiburg |
| 2026-03-20 | €10M | SC Freiburg |
| 2026-05-27 | €22M | SC Freiburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.358
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 85% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 89% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Matanovic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DemirovicCFVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€22M
- UndavCFVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€22M
- SilvaCFBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€22M
- MatsimaCBFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€22M
- SalahRWLiverpool FC · attackers€22M
- Calvert-LewinCFLeeds United · attackers€22M
- LangLWGalatasaray · attackers€22M
- RaspadoriSSAtalanta BC · attackers€22M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).