FairValue

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Portrait of Ferran Jutglà

Ferran

Jutglà

RWSpain · Celta de Vigo

№ 599231Elite €10.8M −0.07

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

FerranJutglà

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Celta de Vigo
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
27
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jutglà at €10M. Model A, which never saw Jutglà during training, estimates €10.8M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €22.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €10.8M▼ −0.83B €22.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
84
Minutes
4,322
Goals
20
Assists
7
Started
47/84
Min / app
51
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jutglà…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €10.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ferran Jutglà's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 50th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 45th, Minutes, last 365 days 81st, European club minutes 95th79thGoals50thAssists85thMinutes45thStarts81stRecent95thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

31% this player0% attacker median95th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2019
Peak
€14M
Nov 2022
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
Jun 2026€10MCelta de VigoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-10€50kRCD Espanyol B
2020-02-11€150kRCD Espanyol B
2020-10-08€150kRCD Espanyol B
2021-01-08€150kRCD Espanyol B
2021-06-30€150kRCD Espanyol B
2021-10-13€300kFC Barcelona B
2021-12-30€1MFC Barcelona B
2022-03-21€1.5MFC Barcelona B
2022-06-29€3MFC Barcelona B
2022-09-07€7MClub Brugge KV
2022-11-04€14MClub Brugge KV
2023-03-22€11MClub Brugge KV
2023-06-09€10MClub Brugge KV
2023-10-23€8MClub Brugge KV
2023-12-19€6.5MClub Brugge KV
2024-06-04€7.5MClub Brugge KV
2024-10-02€6MClub Brugge KV
2024-12-11€5MClub Brugge KV
2025-03-26€7.5MClub Brugge KV
2025-06-12€8MClub Brugge KV
2025-12-12€7MCelta de Vigo
2026-06-05€10MCelta de Vigo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.074

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 73% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jutglà appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).