Marat
Apshatsev
CMRussia · Rubin Kazan
Player dossierPremier Liga
MaratApshatsev
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Rubin Kazan
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 177 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Apshatsev at €250k. Model A, which never saw Apshatsev during training, estimates €616k: the market value is 59% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €547k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 20
- Minutes
- 856
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 13/20
- Min / app
- 43
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Apshatsev…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
65% this player69% midfielder median42nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Sept 2018
- Peak
- €500k
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €250k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €250k, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-20 | €125k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2018-12-20 | €125k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2019-06-14 | €150k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2019-12-23 | €175k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2020-06-29 | €175k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2020-12-29 | €175k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2021-06-28 | €225k | Spartak Nalchik |
| 2021-12-07 | €300k | Tom Tomsk |
| 2022-06-02 | €400k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2022-12-08 | €400k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2023-06-19 | €500k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2023-12-13 | €500k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2024-06-04 | €400k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2024-12-12 | €300k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2025-06-04 | €300k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2025-12-16 | €250k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-05-26 | €250k | Rubin Kazan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.902
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 3% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Apshatsev appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PetrovRBFC Krasnodar · Premier Liga€250k
- SerderovCFDinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga€250k
- TsarukyanAMAkhmat Grozny · Premier Liga€250k
- KrashevskiyLBFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod · Premier Liga€250k
- FalkCMOdense Boldklub · midfielders€250k
- BabenkoCMPolissya Zhytomyr · midfielders€250k
- SydorchukDMKVC Westerlo · midfielders€250k
- StambouliDMFC Metz · midfielders€250k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).