FairValue

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Naïs

Djouahra

LWFrance · FC Arouca

№ 594926Emerging €2.7M −0.59

Player dossierLiga Portugal

NaïsDjouahra

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Arouca
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
France
Age
26
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Djouahra at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Djouahra during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.59A €2.7M▼ −0.43B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,744
Goals
6
Assists
3
Started
33/34
Min / app
81
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Djouahra…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Naïs Djouahra's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 31st, Minutes, two years 62nd, Starts 99th, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 28th35thGoals31stAssists62ndMinutes99thStarts91stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player59% attacker median99th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Nov 2018
Peak
€2M
Jun 2022
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
22
6 club changes
May 2026€1.5MFC AroucaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, FC Arouca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-11-23€150kReal Sociedad B
2019-02-19€150kReal Sociedad B
2019-06-29€150kReal Sociedad B
2019-09-10€150kReal Sociedad B
2020-02-11€200kReal Sociedad B
2020-10-08€200kCD Mirandés
2021-01-08€300kCD Mirandés
2021-06-24€400kCD Mirandés
2021-12-27€400kReal Sociedad B
2022-06-03€2MReal Sociedad B
2022-06-29€1.5MReal Sociedad B
2022-11-08€1MHNK Rijeka
2023-06-06€850kHNK Rijeka
2023-10-13€900kCD Leganés
2023-12-20€900kCD Leganés
2024-03-26€800kCD Leganés
2024-06-24€800kCD Leganés
2024-12-23€700kHNK Rijeka
2025-03-31€1.2MHNK Rijeka
2025-06-09€1.5MHNK Rijeka
2025-12-18€1.5MFC Arouca
2026-05-28€1.5MFC Arouca

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.588

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 53% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Djouahra appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).