FairValue

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Giorgiy

Shelia

GKRussia · Akhmat Grozny

№ 58971Emerging €203k −0.30

Player dossierPremier Liga

GiorgiyShelia

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Akhmat Grozny
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
37
Height
190 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Shelia at €150k. Model A, which never saw Shelia during training, estimates €203k: the market value is 26% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €184k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.30A €203k▼ −0.21B €184k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
4,230
Started
47/47
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Shelia…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €203k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Giorgiy Shelia's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 69th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 32nd69thMinutes62ndStarts51stRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,230 this player2,790 goalkeeper median69th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2007
Peak
€850k
Dec 2019
Model target
€150k
May 2026
Valuations
35
6 club changes
May 2026€150kAkhmat GroznyValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €150k, Akhmat Grozny. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-09-09€50kDinamo Bryansk
2010-05-17€300kDinamo Bryansk
2010-10-18€350kDinamo Bryansk
2011-05-30€200kDinamo Bryansk
2012-03-29€100kDinamo Bryansk
2012-08-11€100kBaltika Kaliningrad
2013-01-22€100kBaltika Kaliningrad
2013-06-06€150kBaltika Kaliningrad
2013-12-27€150kBaltika Kaliningrad
2014-06-29€200kBaltika Kaliningrad
2015-06-11€200kBaltika Kaliningrad
2016-01-10€250kEnisey Krasnoyarsk
2016-05-25€500kFC Ufa
2016-12-27€500kFC Ufa
2017-06-01€500kFC Ufa
2017-12-23€500kFC Ufa
2018-06-06€500kFC Ufa
2018-12-20€500kFC Ufa
2019-06-14€700kFK Tambov
2019-12-23€850kFK Tambov
2020-04-08€675kFK Tambov
2020-07-29€650kPFK Tambov
2020-12-29€650kAkhmat Grozny
2021-06-02€650kAkhmat Grozny
2021-12-29€600kAkhmat Grozny
2022-06-02€500kAkhmat Grozny
2022-11-21€500kAkhmat Grozny
2023-06-14€500kAkhmat Grozny
2023-10-05€700kAkhmat Grozny
2023-12-13€600kAkhmat Grozny
2024-06-04€500kAkhmat Grozny
2024-12-12€400kAkhmat Grozny
2025-06-04€300kAkhmat Grozny
2025-12-16€200kAkhmat Grozny
2026-05-26€150kAkhmat Grozny

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.304

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 1% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 6% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Shelia appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).