FairValue

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Saúl

Coco

CBEquatorial Guinea · Torino FC

№ 588426Established €7.8M −0.04

Player dossierSerie A

SaúlCoco

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Equatorial Guinea
Age
27
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Coco at €7.5M. Model A, which never saw Coco during training, estimates €7.8M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €7.8M▼ −0.02B €7.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
73
Minutes
6,475
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
73/73
Min / app
89
Cards
15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Coco…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7.5MModel A €7.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Saúl Coco's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 58th, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 96th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 30th58thGoals35thAssists96thMinutes97thStarts95thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2020
Peak
€14M
Oct 2024
Model target
€7.5M
May 2026
Valuations
19
2 club changes
May 2026€7.5MTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7.5M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-08€50kLas Palmas Atlético
2021-01-08€50kLas Palmas Atlético
2021-06-30€100kLas Palmas Atlético
2021-12-30€100kUD Las Palmas
2022-03-21€200kUD Las Palmas
2022-06-29€200kUD Las Palmas
2022-12-29€500kUD Las Palmas
2023-03-24€800kUD Las Palmas
2023-06-14€1MUD Las Palmas
2023-10-13€2MUD Las Palmas
2023-12-22€3MUD Las Palmas
2024-03-21€4MUD Las Palmas
2024-06-07€8MUD Las Palmas
2024-10-18€14MTorino FC
2024-12-18€14MTorino FC
2025-03-25€12MTorino FC
2025-06-17€10MTorino FC
2025-12-23€9MTorino FC
2026-05-29€7.5MTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.036

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 59% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€7.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Coco appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).