Gavin
Bazunu
GKIreland · Stoke City
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
GavinBazunu
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Stoke City
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Ireland
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Bazunu at €8M. Model A, which never saw Bazunu during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 514% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×6.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €599k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 6
- Minutes
- 540
- Started
- 6/6
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bazunu…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €600k
- Oct 2021
- Peak
- €18M
- Mar 2023
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €8M, Stoke City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-05 | €600k | Portsmouth FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €5M | Manchester City U23 |
| 2022-09-15 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2023-03-16 | €18M | Southampton FC |
| 2023-06-20 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2023-12-21 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2024-05-24 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €14M | Southampton FC |
| 2025-03-26 | €11M | Standard Liège |
| 2025-05-30 | €9M | Southampton FC |
| 2025-12-03 | €9M | Southampton FC |
| 2026-05-28 | €8M | Stoke City |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.814
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 27% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 85% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bazunu appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- XhakaDMSunderland AFC · Premier League€8M
- MaguireCBManchester United · Premier League€8M
- ShawLBManchester United · Premier League€8M
- ChristieCMAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€8M
- MeretGKSSC Napoli · goalkeepers€8M
- NicolasGKBorussia Mönchengladbach · goalkeepers€8M
- ButezGKComo 1907 · goalkeepers€8M
- ScherpenGKUnion Saint-Gilloise · goalkeepers€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).