Melker
Widell
CMSweden · Swansea City
Player dossierPremier League
MelkerWidell
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Swansea City
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Widell at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Widell during training, estimates €6.8M: the market value is 74% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 2,153
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 24/28
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Widell…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
86% this player69% midfielder median80th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Jun 2023
- Peak
- €1.8M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €1.8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 7
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €1.8M, Swansea City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-27 | €300k | Landskrona BoIS |
| 2023-12-21 | €550k | Aalborg BK |
| 2024-06-18 | €700k | Aalborg BK |
| 2024-12-09 | €1M | Aalborg BK |
| 2025-06-16 | €1.5M | Aalborg BK |
| 2025-12-03 | €1.5M | Swansea City |
| 2026-05-28 | €1.8M | Swansea City |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −1.336
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 9% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Widell appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AyewCFLeicester City · Premier League€1.8M
- AriboCMLeicester City · Premier League€1.8M
- JohnstoneGKWolverhampton Wanderers · Premier League€2M
- LundstramDMHull City · Premier League€2M
- StögerAMBorussia Mönchengladbach · midfielders€1.8M
- GerhardtCMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€1.8M
- BelkeblaCMAngers SCO · midfielders€1.8M
- PflückeRMRoyal Charleroi SC · midfielders€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).