FairValue

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Zafer

Görgen

GKTürkiye · Gaziantep FK

№ 576566Emerging €747k +0.07

Player dossierSüper Lig

ZaferGörgen

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Gaziantep FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
25
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Görgen at €800k. Model A, which never saw Görgen during training, estimates €747k: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €747k▼ −0.64B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
1,800
Started
20/20
Min / app
90
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Görgen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €747k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Zafer Görgen's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 35th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 32nd35thMinutes62ndStarts55thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Apr 2018
Peak
€800k
Dec 2025
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
26
3 club changes
May 2026€800kGaziantep FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-04-09€25kManisaspor
2018-05-30€25kManisaspor
2019-04-08€50kCaykur Rizespor
2019-06-04€50kCaykur Rizespor
2020-01-03€250kCaykur Rizespor
2020-08-04€250kCaykur Rizespor
2020-12-23€200kCaykur Rizespor
2021-03-16€200kCaykur Rizespor
2021-05-21€175kCaykur Rizespor
2021-10-12€175kCaykur Rizespor
2022-01-04€150kCaykur Rizespor
2022-03-31€125kCaykur Rizespor
2022-06-01€100kCaykur Rizespor
2022-11-15€150kCaykur Rizespor
2023-04-03€200kCaykur Rizespor
2023-06-23€275kCaykur Rizespor
2023-09-27€225kCaykur Rizespor
2023-12-21€200kCaykur Rizespor
2024-03-26€275kBandirma Spor
2024-06-13€375kBandirma Spor
2024-10-16€400kBandirma Spor
2025-01-09€400kBandirma Spor
2025-04-02€350kBandirma Spor
2025-06-25€300kBandirma Spor
2025-12-17€800kGaziantep FK
2026-05-21€800kGaziantep FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.069

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Görgen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).