Thiago
Almada
LWArgentina · Atlético de Madrid
Player dossierLaLiga
ThiagoAlmada
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Atlético de Madrid
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Argentina
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 171 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Almada at €15M. Model A, which never saw Almada during training, estimates €9.6M: the market value is 57% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 2,914
- Goals
- 6
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 29/60
- Min / app
- 49
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Almada…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
15% this player0% attacker median77th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €5M
- Dec 2018
- Peak
- €27M
- Aug 2023
- Model target
- €15M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €15M, Atlético de Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-18 | €5M | CA Vélez Sarsfield |
| 2019-08-06 | €15M | CA Vélez Sarsfield |
| 2019-12-05 | €20M | CA Vélez Sarsfield |
| 2020-04-08 | €18M | CA Vélez Sarsfield |
| 2021-02-08 | €20M | CA Vélez Sarsfield |
| 2021-10-20 | €20M | CA Vélez Sarsfield |
| 2022-04-01 | €18M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2022-08-18 | €15M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2022-11-08 | €15M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2023-03-31 | €20M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2023-08-22 | €27M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2023-12-18 | €27M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2024-06-13 | €27M | Atlanta United FC |
| 2024-12-09 | €27M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2025-03-24 | €25M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2025-06-03 | €25M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2025-12-12 | €20M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2026-06-05 | €15M | Atlético de Madrid |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.451
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Almada appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CourtoisGKReal Madrid · LaLiga€15M
- OblakGKAtlético de Madrid · LaLiga€15M
- TsygankovRWGirona FC · LaLiga€15M
- GómezLBReal Sociedad · LaLiga€15M
- EmboloCFStade Rennais FC · attackers€15M
- LukébakioRWSL Benfica · attackers€15M
- PinamontiCFUS Sassuolo · attackers€15M
- TellaRWBayer 04 Leverkusen · attackers€15M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).