Vasco
Sousa
CMPortugal · Moreirense FC
Player dossierLiga Portugal
VascoSousa
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Moreirense FC
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 169 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Sousa at €2M. Model A, which never saw Sousa during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 81% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.81. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 24
- Minutes
- 957
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 11/24
- Min / app
- 40
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sousa…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
3% this player0% midfielder median63rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Nov 2021
- Peak
- €5M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Moreirense FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | €250k | FC Porto B |
| 2022-04-01 | €450k | FC Porto B |
| 2022-06-27 | €650k | FC Porto B |
| 2022-12-28 | €1.5M | FC Porto B |
| 2023-06-28 | €1.8M | FC Porto B |
| 2023-12-14 | €2M | FC Porto B |
| 2024-06-20 | €2M | FC Porto B |
| 2024-10-08 | €5M | FC Porto |
| 2024-12-19 | €5M | FC Porto |
| 2025-05-30 | €4M | FC Porto |
| 2025-12-18 | €2.5M | Moreirense FC |
| 2026-03-19 | €2M | Moreirense FC |
| 2026-05-28 | €2M | Moreirense FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.594
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 61% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sousa appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MangasLBSporting CP · Liga Portugal€2M
- AmaralLBGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€2M
- DiasRWFC Famalicão · Liga Portugal€2M
- RichardsLBRio Ave FC · Liga Portugal€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).