FairValue

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Papa Ndiaga

Yade

LWMauritania · FC Oleksandriya

№ 568702Emerging €359k +0.11

Player dossierPremier Liha

Papa NdiagaYade

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Oleksandriya
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Mauritania
Age
26
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Yade at €400k. Model A, which never saw Yade during training, estimates €359k: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.11A €359k▼ −1.64B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,269
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
15/18
Min / app
71
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yade…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €359k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Papa Ndiaga Yade's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 21st, Minutes, two years 26th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 49th, European club minutes 85th10thGoals21stAssists26thMinutes87thStarts49thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

83% this player59% attacker median87th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2019
Peak
€3M
Jun 2021
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
4 club changes
Jun 2026€400kFC OleksandriyaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-27€150kFC Metz
2019-12-19€250kFC Metz
2020-10-15€600kFC Metz
2021-01-07€1.5MFC Metz
2021-04-09€2.5MFC Metz
2021-06-04€3MFC Metz
2021-12-16€2.5MFC Metz
2022-05-30€2MFC Metz
2022-11-02€1.8MESTAC Troyes
2023-06-27€1.2MESTAC Troyes
2023-10-27€1MUS Quevilly-Rouen Métropole
2023-12-13€800kUS Quevilly-Rouen Métropole
2024-06-11€700kUS Quevilly-Rouen Métropole
2024-12-18€650kFC Sheriff Tiraspol
2025-05-23€550kFC Sheriff Tiraspol
2025-12-01€450kFC Sheriff Tiraspol
2026-06-02€400kFC Oleksandriya

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.107

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yade appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).