FairValue

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Aaron

Meijers

LBNetherlands · FC Volendam

№ 56836Emerging €75k 0.00

Player dossierEredivisie

AaronMeijers

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Volendam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
38
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Meijers at €75k. Model A, which never saw Meijers during training, estimates €75k: the market value is level with that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €105k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ 0.00A €75k▼ −0.34B €105k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
1,464
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
16/34
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Meijers…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €75k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €75kModel A €75k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Aaron Meijers's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 6th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists22ndMinutes6thStarts19thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Aug 2008
Peak
€1M
Jul 2015
Model target
€75k
May 2026
Valuations
37
5 club changes
May 2026€75kFC VolendamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €75k, FC Volendam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-08-14€250kFC Volendam
2009-06-22€325kFC Volendam
2011-06-15€300kRKC Waalwijk
2011-10-21€500kRKC Waalwijk
2012-01-20€600kRKC Waalwijk
2012-07-25€750kADO Den Haag
2013-06-12€750kADO Den Haag
2014-02-11€750kADO Den Haag
2014-08-10€850kADO Den Haag
2015-02-12€850kADO Den Haag
2015-07-01€1MADO Den Haag
2015-11-11€900kADO Den Haag
2016-02-05€900kADO Den Haag
2016-07-15€1MADO Den Haag
2017-01-18€750kADO Den Haag
2017-06-07€750kADO Den Haag
2018-01-17€850kADO Den Haag
2018-06-12€850kADO Den Haag
2018-12-28€850kADO Den Haag
2019-06-12€850kADO Den Haag
2019-12-18€850kADO Den Haag
2020-03-12€700kADO Den Haag
2020-04-08€550kADO Den Haag
2020-10-14€550kSparta Rotterdam
2021-01-06€500kSparta Rotterdam
2021-03-09€350kSparta Rotterdam
2021-05-19€325kSparta Rotterdam
2022-01-05€250kSparta Rotterdam
2022-06-08€250kSparta Rotterdam
2022-11-11€250kSparta Rotterdam
2023-06-23€200kSparta Rotterdam
2023-12-15€200kRKC Waalwijk
2024-05-31€150kRKC Waalwijk
2024-12-17€100kRKC Waalwijk
2025-05-28€75kRKC Waalwijk
2025-12-02€75kFC Volendam
2026-05-28€75kFC Volendam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.004

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

The joint lowest observed value among 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€75kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€75kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Meijers appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).