Cole
Palmer
AMEngland · Chelsea FC
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
ColePalmer
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Chelsea FC
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Palmer at €100M. Model A, which never saw Palmer during training, estimates €91.6M: the market value is 9% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €58.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 79
- Minutes
- 6,249
- Goals
- 29
- Assists
- 14
- Started
- 71/79
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 14Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Palmer…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.42 this player0.08 midfielder median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Mar 2021
- Peak
- €130M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €100M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €100M, Chelsea FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-18 | €500k | Manchester City U23 |
| 2021-12-23 | €3M | Manchester City |
| 2022-06-15 | €6M | Manchester City |
| 2022-09-15 | €10M | Manchester City |
| 2022-11-03 | €15M | Manchester City |
| 2023-06-20 | €15M | Manchester City |
| 2023-07-12 | €18M | Manchester City |
| 2023-10-09 | €32M | Chelsea FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €45M | Chelsea FC |
| 2024-03-14 | €55M | Chelsea FC |
| 2024-05-27 | €80M | Chelsea FC |
| 2024-10-01 | €90M | Chelsea FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €130M | Chelsea FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €120M | Chelsea FC |
| 2025-12-09 | €120M | Chelsea FC |
| 2026-03-09 | €110M | Chelsea FC |
| 2026-06-03 | €100M | Chelsea FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.088
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Joint 4th highest observed value among 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Joint 6th highest observed value among 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Palmer appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SzoboszlaiAMLiverpool FC · Premier League€100M
- SalibaCBArsenal FC · Premier League€100M
- WirtzAMLiverpool FC · Premier League€100M
- CaicedoDMChelsea FC · Premier League€100M
- MusialaAMBayern Munich · midfielders€100M
- LópezAMFC Barcelona · midfielders€100M
- ValverdeCMReal Madrid · midfielders€90M
- RogersAMAston Villa · midfielders€90M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).