Michael
Olise
RWFrance · Bayern Munich
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
MichaelOlise
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Bayern Munich
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Olise at €150M. Model A, which never saw Olise during training, estimates €127M: the market value is 18% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €78.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 106
- Minutes
- 7,767
- Goals
- 42
- Assists
- 53
- Started
- 87/106
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 16Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Olise…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €150M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Assists per 90
Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.
0.61 this player0.15 attacker median100th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Oct 2019
- Peak
- €150M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €150M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €150M, Bayern Munich. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-17 | €200k | Reading FC U18 |
| 2020-02-27 | €900k | Reading FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €800k | Reading FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €4.5M | Reading FC |
| 2020-12-22 | €8M | Reading FC |
| 2021-03-10 | €12M | Reading FC |
| 2021-06-30 | €15M | Reading FC |
| 2021-12-23 | €18M | Crystal Palace |
| 2022-03-29 | €22M | Crystal Palace |
| 2022-06-15 | €22M | Crystal Palace |
| 2022-11-03 | €22M | Crystal Palace |
| 2023-03-16 | €27M | Crystal Palace |
| 2023-06-20 | €38M | Crystal Palace |
| 2023-10-09 | €50M | Crystal Palace |
| 2023-12-19 | €50M | Crystal Palace |
| 2024-05-27 | €55M | Crystal Palace |
| 2024-10-09 | €65M | Bayern Munich |
| 2024-12-20 | €65M | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-03-27 | €80M | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-06-05 | €100M | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-10-14 | €130M | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-12-19 | €130M | Bayern Munich |
| 2026-03-20 | €140M | Bayern Munich |
| 2026-05-27 | €150M | Bayern Munich |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.163
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
The highest observed value among 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
4th highest observed value among 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Olise appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MusialaAMBayern Munich · Bundesliga€100M
- PavlovicDMBayern Munich · Bundesliga€90M
- DiomandeLWRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€90M
- UpamecanoCBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€70M
- Vini Jr.LWReal Madrid · attackers€140M
- KvaratskheliaLWParis Saint-Germain · attackers€140M
- MbappéCFReal Madrid · attackers€180M
- DouéRWParis Saint-Germain · attackers€120M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).