Gabriel
Sara
CMBrazil · Galatasaray
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSüper Lig
GabrielSara
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Galatasaray
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 177 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Sara at €27M. Model A, which never saw Sara during training, estimates €20.7M: the market value is 31% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €19.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 81
- Minutes
- 5,817
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 15
- Started
- 68/81
- Min / app
- 72
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sara…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €27M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% midfielder median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1.8M
- Sept 2020
- Peak
- €27M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €27M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €27M, Galatasaray. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-09 | €1.8M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2020-10-08 | €3.5M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2021-02-09 | €6.5M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2021-05-28 | €6.5M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2021-12-17 | €6.5M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2022-04-06 | €6.5M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2022-08-19 | €5.5M | Norwich City |
| 2022-10-27 | €6M | Norwich City |
| 2023-03-24 | €9M | Norwich City |
| 2023-06-01 | €12M | Norwich City |
| 2023-10-27 | €16M | Norwich City |
| 2023-12-21 | €16M | Norwich City |
| 2024-05-24 | €18M | Norwich City |
| 2024-10-04 | €20M | Galatasaray |
| 2024-12-23 | €23M | Galatasaray |
| 2025-03-20 | €22M | Galatasaray |
| 2025-06-18 | €22M | Galatasaray |
| 2025-12-17 | €20M | Galatasaray |
| 2026-03-05 | €22M | Galatasaray |
| 2026-05-21 | €27M | Galatasaray |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.267
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Joint 3rd highest observed value among 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 93% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sara appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GuendouziCMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€27M
- KökçüCMBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€25M
- YılmazLWGalatasaray · Süper Lig€30M
- SingoRBGalatasaray · Süper Lig€23M
- CatCMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€27M
- StachDMLeeds United · midfielders€28M
- LeeAMParis Saint-Germain · midfielders€28M
- FéeCMSunderland AFC · midfielders€28M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).