Adam
Hlozek
CFCzech Republic · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
AdamHlozek
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Czech Republic
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Hlozek at €10M. Model A, which never saw Hlozek during training, estimates €8.8M: the market value is 14% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 42
- Minutes
- 2,574
- Goals
- 11
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 31/42
- Min / app
- 61
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hlozek…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
20% this player0% attacker median84th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Dec 2018
- Peak
- €20M
- Jun 2022
- Model target
- €10M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €10M, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-30 | €200k | AC Sparta Prague U19 |
| 2019-04-30 | €3M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2019-06-25 | €3.5M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2019-09-25 | €4M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2019-12-07 | €7.5M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.7M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2020-07-10 | €9M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2020-12-27 | €12M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2021-05-28 | €17M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2021-12-26 | €19M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2022-06-22 | €20M | AC Sparta Prague |
| 2022-09-21 | €15M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2022-11-09 | €15M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2023-06-22 | €18M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2023-12-14 | €15M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-03-27 | €12M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-05-29 | €12M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-10-09 | €18M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2024-12-20 | €18M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-06-05 | €18M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-12-19 | €15M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2026-03-20 | €12M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2026-05-27 | €10M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.129
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Hlozek appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FriedlCBSV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga€10M
- EggesteinCMSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€10M
- SchlagerCMRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€10M
- LienhartCBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€10M
- MinaminoLWAS Monaco · attackers€10M
- CórdobaCFFC Krasnodar · attackers€10M
- Saint-MaximinLWRC Lens · attackers€10M
- NmechaCFLeeds United · attackers€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).