FairValue

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Ianis

Stoica

LWRomania · CF Estrela Amadora

№ 547754Emerging €1.6M −0.04

Player dossierLiga Portugal

IanisStoica

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
CF Estrela Amadora
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Romania
Age
23
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Stoica at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Stoica during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 3% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €1.6M▼ −0.30B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
1,674
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
20/33
Min / app
51
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Stoica…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ianis Stoica's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 26th, Assists per 90 56th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 63rd, European club minutes 28th26thGoals56thAssists36thMinutes53rdStarts63rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,674 this player1,301 attacker median63rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2018
Peak
€2M
Jun 2025
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
19
8 club changes
May 2026€1.5MCF Estrela AmadoraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, CF Estrela Amadora. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-23€50kFCSB II
2019-06-18€100kDunarea Calarasi
2019-12-21€75kPetrolul Ploiesti
2020-08-05€50kFCSB
2020-12-22€150kCSM Slatina
2021-06-05€200kCSM Slatina
2021-09-30€450kFCSB
2021-12-22€850kFCSB
2022-03-29€1MFCSB
2022-06-03€1MFCSB
2022-12-21€900kFCSB
2023-06-15€750kFC Universitatea Cluj
2023-12-22€1MFC Universitatea Cluj
2024-06-05€1.2MFC Hermannstadt
2024-09-13€1.3MFC Hermannstadt
2024-12-19€1.6MFC Hermannstadt
2025-06-10€2MFC Hermannstadt
2025-12-18€1.5MCF Estrela Amadora
2026-05-28€1.5MCF Estrela Amadora

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.035

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 53% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Stoica appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).