FairValue

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Mikkel

Kaufmann

CFDenmark · 1.FC Heidenheim 1846

№ 545332Emerging €2.3M −0.41

Player dossierBundesliga

MikkelKaufmann

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
1.FC Heidenheim 1846
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
25
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kaufmann at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Kaufmann during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 34% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.51. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.41A €2.3M▼ −0.11B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
30
Minutes
1,139
Goals
2
Assists
3
Started
12/30
Min / app
38
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kaufmann…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mikkel Kaufmann's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 26th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 23rd, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 18th, European club minutes 74th26thGoals80thAssists23rdMinutes21stStarts18thRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.15 attacker median80th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2018
Peak
€2.7M
Jun 2023
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
21
8 club changes
May 2026€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, 1.FC Heidenheim 1846. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-21€75kAalborg BK U19
2019-09-09€500kAalborg BK
2019-12-22€1MAalborg BK
2020-04-08€900kFC Copenhagen
2020-07-31€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2020-12-23€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2021-06-04€1MFC Copenhagen
2021-12-15€800kHamburger SV
2022-03-23€600kHamburger SV
2022-06-16€600kHamburger SV
2022-11-30€600kKarlsruher SC
2023-03-31€1MKarlsruher SC
2023-06-28€2.7MKarlsruher SC
2023-12-14€2.7M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-05-29€2.7M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-10-09€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-12-20€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-06-19€1.2MKarlsruher SC
2025-10-14€1.8M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-12-19€1.8M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2026-05-27€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.414

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 12% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kaufmann appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).