FairValue

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Kristjan

Asllani

DMAlbania · Besiktas JK

№ 543771Elite €28.1M −0.85

Player dossierSerie A

KristjanAsllani

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Serie A
Nationality
Albania
Age
24
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Asllani at €12M. Model A, which never saw Asllani during training, estimates €28.1M: the market value is 57% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.85A €28.1M▲ +0.08B €11.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
3,954
Goals
5
Assists
5
Started
44/70
Min / app
56
Cards
14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Asllani…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €28.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Kristjan Asllani's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 60th, Assists per 90 58th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 38th, Minutes, last 365 days 78th, European club minutes 79th60thGoals58thAssists73rdMinutes38thStarts78thRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

16% this player0% midfielder median79th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jun 2021
Peak
€18M
Jun 2024
Model target
€12M
May 2026
Valuations
16
4 club changes
May 2026€12MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €12M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-30€200kEmpoli Primavera
2021-10-14€500kFC Empoli
2021-12-28€1.5MFC Empoli
2022-03-15€3.5MFC Empoli
2022-06-07€10MFC Empoli
2022-09-27€12MInter Milan
2022-11-11€12MInter Milan
2023-06-15€12MInter Milan
2023-12-20€14MInter Milan
2024-03-12€16MInter Milan
2024-06-05€18MInter Milan
2024-12-18€18MInter Milan
2025-03-25€15MInter Milan
2025-06-17€13MInter Milan
2025-12-23€13MTorino FC
2026-05-21€12MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.851

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 69% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 81% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Asllani appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).