FairValue

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Portrait of Cheick Doucouré

Cheick

Doucouré

DMMali · Crystal Palace

№ 543387Elite €4.2M +0.87

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

CheickDoucouré

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Crystal Palace
League
Premier League
Nationality
Mali
Age
26
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Doucouré at €10M. Model A, which never saw Doucouré during training, estimates €4.2M: the market value is 138% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €383k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.87A €4.2M▲ +3.26B €383k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
14
Minutes
515
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
5/14
Min / app
37
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Doucouré…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €4.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Cheick Doucouré's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 2nd, Starts 8th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th10thGoals8thAssists2ndMinutes8thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1.5M
Jan 2019
Peak
€35M
Jun 2023
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
1 club change
Jun 2026€10MCrystal PalaceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Crystal Palace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-08€1.5MRC Lens
2019-06-27€2MRC Lens
2020-01-06€2MRC Lens
2020-04-08€1.8MRC Lens
2020-10-15€3.5MRC Lens
2021-04-09€5MRC Lens
2021-06-04€6MRC Lens
2021-12-16€9MRC Lens
2022-03-23€10MRC Lens
2022-05-30€15MRC Lens
2022-09-15€22MCrystal Palace
2022-11-03€30MCrystal Palace
2023-06-20€35MCrystal Palace
2023-12-19€35MCrystal Palace
2024-05-27€35MCrystal Palace
2024-12-16€35MCrystal Palace
2025-03-18€30MCrystal Palace
2025-05-30€25MCrystal Palace
2025-10-17€20MCrystal Palace
2025-12-09€15MCrystal Palace
2026-03-09€13MCrystal Palace
2026-06-03€10MCrystal Palace

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.868

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 32% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Doucouré appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).