Raúl
Fernández
GKSpain · Deportivo Alavés
Player dossierLaLiga
RaúlFernández
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Deportivo Alavés
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 38
- Height
- 195 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Fernández at €100k. Model A, which never saw Fernández during training, estimates €157k: the market value is 36% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €98k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 5
- Minutes
- 450
- Started
- 5/5
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fernández…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2007
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jun 2013
- Model target
- €100k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 39
- 9 club changes
Jun 2026: €100k, Deportivo Alavés. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2007-07-25 | €50k | Bilbao Athletic |
| 2007-07-26 | €100k | Bilbao Athletic |
| 2008-02-04 | €500k | Bilbao Athletic |
| 2010-08-15 | €600k | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2011-02-04 | €600k | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2011-07-29 | €800k | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2012-02-03 | €800k | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2012-08-07 | €1M | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2013-01-11 | €1M | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2013-06-12 | €1.5M | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2013-10-08 | €1M | CD Numancia |
| 2014-02-06 | €800k | CD Numancia |
| 2014-08-12 | €800k | Racing Santander |
| 2015-01-08 | €500k | Racing Santander |
| 2015-07-01 | €400k | CD Mirandés |
| 2015-11-20 | €500k | CD Mirandés |
| 2016-02-22 | €600k | CD Mirandés |
| 2016-07-15 | €700k | Levante UD |
| 2017-01-24 | €1M | Levante UD |
| 2017-06-29 | €1.5M | Levante UD |
| 2018-01-01 | €1.5M | Levante UD |
| 2018-05-30 | €1M | Levante UD |
| 2019-02-19 | €1M | UD Las Palmas |
| 2019-06-29 | €1M | UD Las Palmas |
| 2019-12-20 | €800k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2020-04-08 | €650k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2020-10-08 | €400k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2021-01-08 | €200k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2021-06-24 | €200k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2021-12-27 | €200k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2022-06-29 | €200k | UD Las Palmas |
| 2022-12-29 | €300k | Granada CF |
| 2023-06-14 | €300k | Granada CF |
| 2023-12-22 | €300k | Granada CF |
| 2024-06-07 | €200k | Granada CF |
| 2024-12-13 | €200k | CD Mirandés |
| 2025-06-24 | €200k | CD Mirandés |
| 2025-12-12 | €200k | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2026-06-05 | €100k | Deportivo Alavés |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.450
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →LaLiga509 players · median €4M
The joint lowest observed value among 509 LaLiga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Fernández appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NyomRBGetafe CF · LaLiga€100k
- RodríguezAMRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€100k
- DituroGKElche CF · LaLiga€100k
- JosanRWElche CF · LaLiga€100k
- PasveerGKHeracles Almelo · goalkeepers€100k
- BainGKFalkirk FC · goalkeepers€100k
- TaşkıranGKAlanyaspor · goalkeepers€100k
- RibeiroGKCF Estrela Amadora · goalkeepers€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).