Felix
Winther
CMDenmark · FC Fredericia
Player dossierSuperliga
FelixWinther
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Fredericia
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Winther at €600k. Model A, which never saw Winther during training, estimates €701k: the market value is 14% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €816k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 19
- Minutes
- 1,539
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 18/19
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Winther…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
95% this player69% midfielder median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Dec 2018
- Peak
- €600k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €600k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €600k, FC Fredericia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-21 | €25k | FC Copenhagen U19 |
| 2019-09-09 | €200k | BK Fremad Amager |
| 2019-12-22 | €200k | BK Fremad Amager |
| 2020-07-31 | €200k | BK Fremad Amager |
| 2020-12-23 | €200k | BK Fremad Amager |
| 2022-01-03 | €200k | Tromsø IL |
| 2022-12-09 | €300k | Tromsø IL |
| 2023-06-29 | €300k | Tromsø IL |
| 2023-09-07 | €250k | Tromsø IL |
| 2023-12-15 | €250k | Tromsø IL |
| 2024-06-12 | €250k | Tromsø IL |
| 2024-12-09 | €250k | FC Fredericia |
| 2025-06-16 | €350k | FC Fredericia |
| 2025-12-15 | €500k | FC Fredericia |
| 2026-05-25 | €600k | FC Fredericia |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.156
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 34% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Winther appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- McCrorieGKEsbjerg fB · Superliga€600k
- HoedemakersDMViborg FF · Superliga€600k
- NormannLWAalborg BK · Superliga€600k
- PyndtDMFC Fredericia · Superliga€600k
- LarssonAMFatih Karagümrük · midfielders€600k
- TimofeevDMLokomotiv Moscow · midfielders€600k
- TankovskyiCMLNZ Cherkasy · midfielders€600k
- ShvetsDMRubin Kazan · midfielders€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).