FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Danyil

Sukhoruchko

CFUkraine · SC Poltava

№ 539448Emerging €212k +0.17

Player dossierPremier Liha

DanyilSukhoruchko

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
SC Poltava
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
26
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sukhoruchko at €250k. Model A, which never saw Sukhoruchko during training, estimates €212k: the market value is 18% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.17A €212k▼ −1.78B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
44
Minutes
3,300
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
38/44
Min / app
75
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sukhoruchko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €212k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Danyil Sukhoruchko's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 8th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 90th, Minutes, last 365 days 44th, European club minutes 28th8thGoals6thAssists71stMinutes90thStarts44thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

86% this player59% attacker median90th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2021
Peak
€400k
Mar 2025
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
5 club changes
Jun 2026€250kSC PoltavaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, SC Poltava. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-17€100kChornomorets Odesa
2021-12-20€100kChornomorets Odesa
2022-05-18€100kDynamo Kyiv II
2022-12-06€100kNyva Ternopil
2023-03-28€75kWithout Club
2023-12-11€200kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2024-06-06€250kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2024-12-17€300kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2025-03-21€400kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2025-06-10€400kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2025-12-18€350kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2026-06-02€250kSC Poltava

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.167

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 6% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sukhoruchko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).