FairValue

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Jessy

Deminguet

CMFrance · FC Metz

№ 539232Established €3.1M −0.43

Player dossierLigue 1

JessyDeminguet

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Metz
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
28
Height
178 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Deminguet at €2M. Model A, which never saw Deminguet during training, estimates €3.1M: the market value is 35% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.53. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.43A €3.1M▼ −0.10B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,013
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
25/31
Min / app
65
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Deminguet…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €3.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jessy Deminguet's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 30th53rdGoals26thAssists37thMinutes71stStarts65thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

81% this player69% midfielder median71st percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Jun 2018
Peak
€3M
Jun 2022
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2MFC MetzValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, FC Metz. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-06-04€500kSM Caen
2018-09-06€2MSM Caen
2018-10-24€2.5MSM Caen
2018-12-17€2.5MSM Caen
2019-06-03€2.5MSM Caen
2020-01-06€2.5MSM Caen
2020-04-08€2.3MSM Caen
2020-11-11€2MSM Caen
2021-06-25€1.7MSM Caen
2021-12-27€1.7MSM Caen
2022-03-24€2MSM Caen
2022-06-02€3MSM Caen
2022-10-28€2.5MSM Caen
2023-04-06€2MSM Caen
2023-06-16€2MSM Caen
2023-12-18€2MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2024-03-19€1.5MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2024-06-03€1.2MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2024-12-04€1.2MFC Metz
2025-03-12€1.5MFC Metz
2025-06-02€2.5MFC Metz
2025-12-15€2.5MFC Metz
2026-06-01€2MFC Metz

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.427

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 20% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Deminguet appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).