FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Georginio Rutter

Georginio

Rutter

CFFrance · Brighton & Hove Albion

№ 538977World Class €27M +0.10

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

GeorginioRutter

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Brighton & Hove Albion
League
Premier League
Nationality
France
Age
24
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rutter at €30M. Model A, which never saw Rutter during training, estimates €27M: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.10A €27M▲ +1.32B €8.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
3,955
Goals
11
Assists
8
Started
45/68
Min / app
58
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rutter…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €30MModel A €27M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Georginio Rutter's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 63rd, Minutes, two years 81st, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 72nd, European club minutes 28th48thGoals63rdAssists81stMinutes62ndStarts72ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,955 this player2,242 attacker median81st percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2018
Peak
€32M
Dec 2024
Model target
€30M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
4 club changes
Jun 2026€30MBrighton & Hove AlbionValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €30M, Brighton & Hove Albion. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-06€150kStade Rennais FC B
2020-10-15€500kStade Rennais FC
2021-01-07€1.5MStade Rennais FC
2021-03-31€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2021-06-09€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2021-12-22€8MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-03-24€13MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-06-09€16MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-11-09€16MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-03-16€22MLeeds United
2023-06-20€18MLeeds United
2023-12-21€18MLeeds United
2024-05-24€18MLeeds United
2024-10-01€28MBrighton & Hove Albion
2024-12-16€32MBrighton & Hove Albion
2025-05-30€32MBrighton & Hove Albion
2025-12-09€32MBrighton & Hove Albion
2026-03-09€30MBrighton & Hove Albion
2026-06-03€30MBrighton & Hove Albion

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.104

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 73% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€30MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 92% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€30MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rutter appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).