FairValue

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Patrick

Wimmer

RWAustria · VfL Wolfsburg

№ 533295Elite €7.3M +0.49

Player dossierBundesliga

PatrickWimmer

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
VfL Wolfsburg
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Austria
Age
24
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Wimmer at €12M. Model A, which never saw Wimmer during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 64% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.49A €7.3M▲ +0.97B €4.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
3,850
Goals
8
Assists
10
Started
48/60
Min / app
64
Cards
10Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wimmer…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €7.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Patrick Wimmer's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 32nd, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 28th32ndGoals79thAssists79thMinutes83rdStarts65thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

80% this player59% attacker median83rd percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2019
Peak
€18M
Jun 2023
Model target
€12M
May 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
May 2026€12MVfL WolfsburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €12M, VfL Wolfsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-05€100kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2019-12-03€200kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2020-07-22€800kAustria Vienna
2020-10-12€1.5MAustria Vienna
2020-12-21€1.5MAustria Vienna
2021-06-02€1.5MAustria Vienna
2021-12-22€4MArminia Bielefeld
2022-03-24€8MArminia Bielefeld
2022-06-09€8MArminia Bielefeld
2022-11-09€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2023-03-29€12MVfL Wolfsburg
2023-06-22€18MVfL Wolfsburg
2023-12-14€18MVfL Wolfsburg
2024-05-29€15MVfL Wolfsburg
2024-12-20€12MVfL Wolfsburg
2025-03-27€15MVfL Wolfsburg
2025-06-05€15MVfL Wolfsburg
2025-12-19€15MVfL Wolfsburg
2026-05-27€12MVfL Wolfsburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.494

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 70% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Wimmer appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).