Patrick
Wimmer
Player dossierBundesliga
PatrickWimmer
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- VfL Wolfsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Austria
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Wimmer at €12M. Model A, which never saw Wimmer during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 64% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 3,850
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 10
- Started
- 48/60
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 10Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wimmer…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
80% this player59% attacker median83rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2019
- Peak
- €18M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €12M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €12M, VfL Wolfsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-05 | €100k | Young Violets Austria Wien |
| 2019-12-03 | €200k | Young Violets Austria Wien |
| 2020-07-22 | €800k | Austria Vienna |
| 2020-10-12 | €1.5M | Austria Vienna |
| 2020-12-21 | €1.5M | Austria Vienna |
| 2021-06-02 | €1.5M | Austria Vienna |
| 2021-12-22 | €4M | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2022-03-24 | €8M | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2022-06-09 | €8M | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2022-11-09 | €8M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2023-03-29 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2023-06-22 | €18M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2023-12-14 | €18M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2024-05-29 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2024-12-20 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2025-03-27 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2025-06-05 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2025-12-19 | €15M | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 2026-05-27 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.494
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 70% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Wimmer appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GoretzkaCMBayern Munich · Bundesliga€12M
- NübelGKVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€12M
- DahmenGKFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€12M
- FührichLWVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€12M
- MurphyRWNewcastle United · attackers€12M
- BrooksRWAFC Bournemouth · attackers€12M
- GudmundssonSSACF Fiorentina · attackers€12M
- ÉdouardCFRC Lens · attackers€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).





