FairValue

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Loïc

Lapoussin

LMMadagascar · Sint-Truidense VV

№ 533158Emerging €1.1M −0.36

Player dossierPro League

LoïcLapoussin

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sint-Truidense VV
League
Pro League
Nationality
Madagascar
Age
29
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
10 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Lapoussin at €800k. Model A, which never saw Lapoussin during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €965k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.36A €1.1M▼ −0.19B €965k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,953
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
22/23
Min / app
85
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lapoussin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Loïc Lapoussin's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 35th, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 65th80thGoals80thAssists35thMinutes94thStarts16thRecent65thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

96% this player69% midfielder median94th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jan 2019
Peak
€4M
Dec 2023
Model target
€800k
Dec 2025
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Dec 2025€800kSint-Truidense VVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €800k, Sint-Truidense VV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-08€150kRed Star FC
2019-06-27€300kRed Star FC
2019-11-13€450kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2020-03-30€600kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2020-04-08€475kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2020-10-21€475kUnion Saint-Gilloise
2021-02-23€750kUnion Saint-Gilloise
2021-10-06€1MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-01-06€1.8MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-04-12€2.8MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-11-04€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-06-09€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-12-19€4MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2024-06-04€4MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2024-10-02€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2024-12-11€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2025-03-26€2.5MSint-Truidense VV
2025-06-12€2.5MSint-Truidense VV
2025-10-01€1.8MSint-Truidense VV
2025-12-10€800kSint-Truidense VV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.358

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 22% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lapoussin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).