Mason
Greenwood
RWEngland · Olympique Marseille
Player dossierLigue 1
MasonGreenwood
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Olympique Marseille
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Greenwood at €55M. Model A, which never saw Greenwood during training, estimates €65.6M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €61.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 75
- Minutes
- 6,050
- Goals
- 41
- Assists
- 14
- Started
- 70/75
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Greenwood…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €55M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
93% this player59% attacker median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €7M
- Aug 2019
- Peak
- €55M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €55M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €55M, Olympique Marseille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-08-07 | €7M | Manchester United |
| 2019-09-12 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2019-12-10 | €20M | Manchester United |
| 2020-03-09 | €32M | Manchester United |
| 2020-04-08 | €29M | Manchester United |
| 2020-07-30 | €45M | Manchester United |
| 2020-10-13 | €50M | Manchester United |
| 2021-03-18 | €50M | Manchester United |
| 2021-05-28 | €50M | Manchester United |
| 2021-12-23 | €50M | Manchester United |
| 2023-09-01 | €5M | Getafe CF |
| 2023-12-22 | €7.5M | Getafe CF |
| 2024-03-21 | €15M | Getafe CF |
| 2024-06-07 | €25M | Getafe CF |
| 2024-10-07 | €35M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2024-12-10 | €35M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-06-03 | €40M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-12-15 | €50M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2026-03-27 | €55M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2026-06-01 | €55M | Olympique Marseille |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.176
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 97% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 98% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Greenwood appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- JacquetCBStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€55M
- AklioucheRWAS Monaco · Ligue 1€50M
- BouaddiCMLOSC Lille · Ligue 1€50M
- BarcolaLWParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€70M
- HavertzCFArsenal FC · attackers€55M
- WoltemadeCFNewcastle United · attackers€55M
- NdiayeRWEverton FC · attackers€55M
- KaneCFBayern Munich · attackers€60M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).