FairValue

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Igor

Diveev

CBRussia · Zenit St. Petersburg

№ 532732Elite €10.8M −0.08

Player dossierPremier Liga

IgorDiveev

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Zenit St. Petersburg
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
26
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Diveev at €10M. Model A, which never saw Diveev during training, estimates €10.8M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €10.8M▲ +0.87B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
5,988
Goals
10
Assists
2
Started
66/70
Min / app
86
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diveev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €10.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Igor Diveev's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 95th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 82nd, Minutes, last 365 days 86th, European club minutes 30th95thGoals44thAssists93rdMinutes82ndStarts86thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.15 this player0.03 defender median95th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2017
Peak
€10M
May 2026
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
May 2026€10MZenit St. PetersburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, Zenit St. Petersburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-11-24€100kFC Ufa II
2018-06-06€125kFC Ufa II
2018-09-03€300kFC Ufa
2018-12-20€400kFC Ufa
2019-04-24€1.5MCSKA Moscow
2019-06-14€3.5MCSKA Moscow
2019-12-23€5MCSKA Moscow
2020-04-08€4.5MCSKA Moscow
2020-07-29€4.5MCSKA Moscow
2020-12-29€6MCSKA Moscow
2021-05-26€5MCSKA Moscow
2021-12-29€6MCSKA Moscow
2022-06-02€6MCSKA Moscow
2022-11-21€6MCSKA Moscow
2023-06-14€7.5MCSKA Moscow
2023-12-13€7MCSKA Moscow
2024-06-04€6MCSKA Moscow
2024-09-18€7.5MCSKA Moscow
2024-12-12€8MCSKA Moscow
2025-06-04€8MCSKA Moscow
2025-12-16€9MCSKA Moscow
2026-05-26€10MZenit St. Petersburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.076

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 95% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 81% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Diveev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).