FairValue

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Daniil

Kuznetsov

RWRussia · Rubin Kazan

№ 522145Emerging €701k −0.34

Player dossierPremier Liga

DaniilKuznetsov

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Rubin Kazan
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
23
Height
182 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kuznetsov at €500k. Model A, which never saw Kuznetsov during training, estimates €701k: the market value is 29% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €931k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.34A €701k▼ −0.62B €931k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
15
Minutes
489
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
5/15
Min / app
33
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kuznetsov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €701k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Daniil Kuznetsov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 4th, European club minutes 28th92ndGoals64thAssists1stMinutes14thStarts4thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.55 this player0.26 attacker median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2020
Peak
€500k
Oct 2023
Model target
€500k
May 2026
Valuations
14
6 club changes
May 2026€500kRubin KazanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €500k, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-29€50kZenit St. Petersburg II
2021-06-02€150kZenit St. Petersburg II
2021-12-03€250kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2022-06-02€300kRubin Kazan
2022-12-08€300kRubin Kazan
2023-06-19€225kRubin Kazan
2023-10-05€500kRubin Kazan
2023-12-13€500kRubin Kazan
2024-06-14€500kRodina Moscow
2024-12-12€400kRubin Kazan
2025-06-02€350kUral Yekaterinburg
2025-12-16€300kRubin Kazan
2026-03-25€500kRubin Kazan
2026-05-26€500kRubin Kazan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.339

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 15% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kuznetsov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).