FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Vitaliy

Boyko

CMUkraine · NK Veres Rivne

№ 521997Emerging €411k +0.38

Player dossierPremier Liha

VitaliyBoyko

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
NK Veres Rivne
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Boyko at €600k. Model A, which never saw Boyko during training, estimates €411k: the market value is 46% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.46. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.38A €411k▼ −1.48B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,947
Goals
5
Assists
3
Started
33/40
Min / app
74
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Boyko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €411k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Vitaliy Boyko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 73rd, Assists per 90 49th, Minutes, two years 57th, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 30th73rdGoals49thAssists57thMinutes74thStarts75thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,356 this player1,541 midfielder median75th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2018
Peak
€600k
Jun 2024
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
7 club changes
Jun 2026€600kNK Veres RivneValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, NK Veres Rivne. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-04€50kCherkaskyi Dnipro
2018-05-27€25kCherkaskyi Dnipro
2019-06-16€50kOPFC Cherkashchyna (-2021)
2019-12-18€50kOPFC Cherkashchyna (-2021)
2021-04-09€100kFC Minaj
2021-06-07€200kFC Minaj
2021-12-06€175kKremin Kremenchuk
2022-05-18€175kVolyn Lutsk
2022-09-06€200kPFC Lviv
2022-12-06€300kPFC Lviv
2023-06-21€350kLNZ Cherkasy
2023-12-11€400kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-06-06€600kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-12-17€600kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-06-10€400kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-12-18€600kNK Veres Rivne
2026-06-02€600kNK Veres Rivne

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.379

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 61% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Boyko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).