Paulinho
LBBrazil · FC Midtjylland
Player dossierSuperliga
Paulinho
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Midtjylland
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
SuperligaReading the valuation
The market values Paulinho at €400k. Model A, which never saw Paulinho during training, estimates €582k: the market value is 31% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.46. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 1,545
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 17/30
- Min / app
- 52
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Paulinho…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
49% this player0% defender median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Oct 2017
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jun 2021
- Model target
- €400k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €400k, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-10-30 | €300k | Boa EC |
| 2019-02-18 | €500k | Esporte Clube Bahia |
| 2019-09-09 | €400k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2019-12-22 | €400k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2020-04-08 | €325k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2020-07-31 | €500k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2020-12-23 | €900k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2021-06-04 | €1.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2021-12-28 | €1.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2022-06-20 | €1.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2022-12-22 | €1.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2023-06-26 | €1M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2023-12-21 | €1M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2024-06-10 | €1M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2024-12-09 | €1M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-06-16 | €700k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-12-15 | €500k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2026-05-25 | €400k | FC Midtjylland |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.375
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 17% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Paulinho appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WassCMBröndby IF · Superliga€400k
- HjulsagerCMVejle Boldklub · Superliga€400k
- MucolliLWFC Fredericia · Superliga€400k
- DuelundLWVejle Boldklub · Superliga€400k
- YoungRBIpswich Town · defenders€400k
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · defenders€400k
- VogtCBVfL Bochum · defenders€400k
- SavicCBTrabzonspor · defenders€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).