FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Muharrem

Jashari

AMKosovo · LNZ Cherkasy

№ 517284Emerging €1.6M −0.45

Player dossierPremier Liha

MuharremJashari

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
LNZ Cherkasy
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Kosovo
Age
28
Height
182 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jashari at €1M. Model A, which never saw Jashari during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 36% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.45A €1.6M▼ −1.09B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
4,018
Goals
8
Assists
14
Started
44/52
Min / app
77
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jashari…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Muharrem Jashari's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 97th, Minutes, two years 74th, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 30th79thGoals97thAssists74thMinutes78thStarts47thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.31 this player0.09 midfielder median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jan 2019
Peak
€1.2M
Dec 2025
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1MLNZ CherkasyValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, LNZ Cherkasy. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-10€200kUnknown
2019-06-23€175kUnknown
2020-01-23€175kUnknown
2020-07-28€175kUnknown
2021-01-05€250kKF Trepca 89
2021-06-26€200kKF Trepca 89
2021-12-19€250kFC Drita
2022-06-12€275kFC Drita
2022-12-01€350kFC Drita
2023-07-11€375kFC Drita
2023-11-17€400kFC Drita
2024-06-06€500kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-09-12€600kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-12-17€900kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-06-10€900kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-12-18€1.2MLNZ Cherkasy
2026-06-02€1MLNZ Cherkasy

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.446

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 77% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jashari appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).