FairValue

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Pedrinho

RWBrazil · Shakhtar Donetsk

№ 515208Elite €7.5M +0.29

Player dossierPremier Liha

Pedrinho

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Shakhtar Donetsk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Brazil
Age
28
Height
172 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pedrinho at €10M. Model A, which never saw Pedrinho during training, estimates €7.5M: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €7.5M▲ +0.05B €9.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
3,812
Goals
8
Assists
14
Started
43/63
Min / app
61
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pedrinho…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €7.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Pedrinho's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 33rd, Assists per 90 94th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 65th, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 77th33rdGoals94thAssists79thMinutes65thStarts75thRecent77thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.33 this player0.15 attacker median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1.5M
Oct 2017
Peak
€17M
Aug 2020
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
25
4 club changes
Jun 2026€10MShakhtar DonetskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-10-30€1.5MSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2017-12-07€1.5MSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2018-05-23€5MSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2019-02-18€15MSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2019-11-27€15MSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2020-04-08€13.5MSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2020-08-17€17MSL Benfica
2021-01-28€17MSL Benfica
2021-05-21€15MSL Benfica
2021-09-03€17MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-12-20€17MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-05-18€17MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-08-19€17MClube Atlético Mineiro
2022-11-14€12MClube Atlético Mineiro
2023-04-07€10MClube Atlético Mineiro
2023-07-25€8MClube Atlético Mineiro
2023-12-11€7MClube Atlético Mineiro
2024-03-28€6MClube Atlético Mineiro
2024-06-17€5MClube Atlético Mineiro
2024-12-17€5MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-06-10€5MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-09-10€7MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-12-18€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2026-03-23€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2026-06-02€10MShakhtar Donetsk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.291

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Joint 6th highest observed value among 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pedrinho appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).