Stepan
Oganesyan
RWRussia · FC Orenburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
StepanOganesyan
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Orenburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Oganesyan at €300k. Model A, which never saw Oganesyan during training, estimates €522k: the market value is 43% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.74. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €968k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 32
- Minutes
- 1,584
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 19/32
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Oganesyan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
59% this player59% attacker median51st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- May 2018
- Peak
- €700k
- Oct 2023
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €300k, FC Orenburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-09 | €50k | Unknown |
| 2019-02-23 | €50k | Spartak Moskow II |
| 2019-06-14 | €100k | Spartak Moskow II |
| 2019-12-23 | €175k | Spartak Moskow II |
| 2020-06-29 | €200k | Spartak Moskow II |
| 2020-10-19 | €350k | Spartak 2 Moscow |
| 2020-12-29 | €400k | Spartak 2 Moscow |
| 2021-05-24 | €450k | Spartak 2 Moscow |
| 2021-12-07 | €450k | Spartak 2 Moscow |
| 2022-05-30 | €550k | Spartak 2 Moscow |
| 2022-11-21 | €500k | FC Orenburg |
| 2023-06-14 | €500k | FC Orenburg |
| 2023-10-05 | €700k | FC Orenburg |
| 2023-12-13 | €600k | FC Orenburg |
| 2024-06-04 | €500k | FC Orenburg |
| 2024-12-12 | €400k | FC Orenburg |
| 2025-06-04 | €300k | FC Orenburg |
| 2025-09-18 | €500k | FC Orenburg |
| 2025-12-16 | €500k | FC Orenburg |
| 2026-03-25 | €400k | FC Orenburg |
| 2026-05-26 | €300k | FC Orenburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.554
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 5% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Oganesyan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NigmatullinGKRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€300k
- ZabolotnyiCFSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€300k
- BayramyanAMFC Rostov · Premier Liga€300k
- LomovitskiyRWRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€300k
- TosunCFKasimpasa · attackers€300k
- LinssenCFNEC Nijmegen · attackers€300k
- ForrestRWCeltic FC · attackers€300k
- EngelsLWHeracles Almelo · attackers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).