Mike
Vestergård
DMDenmark · Vejle Boldklub
Player dossierSuperliga
MikeVestergård
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Vejle Boldklub
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 28
- Height
- –
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Vestergård at €350k. Model A, which never saw Vestergård during training, estimates €580k: the market value is 40% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.66. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €649k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 27
- Minutes
- 2,269
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 27/27
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vestergård…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Mar 2018
- Peak
- €350k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €350k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €350k, Vejle Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-02 | €25k | Aarhus Fremad |
| 2018-12-21 | €25k | Aarhus Fremad |
| 2020-03-09 | €75k | Kolding IF |
| 2020-07-31 | €50k | Kolding IF |
| 2020-12-23 | €200k | Kolding IF |
| 2021-06-04 | €250k | Kolding IF |
| 2023-09-19 | €50k | Kolding IF |
| 2023-12-21 | €150k | Kolding IF |
| 2024-06-18 | €250k | Kolding IF |
| 2024-12-09 | €300k | Kolding IF |
| 2025-06-18 | €250k | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
| 2025-12-15 | €300k | Vejle Boldklub |
| 2026-05-25 | €350k | Vejle Boldklub |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.506
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 14% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Vestergård appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CroneRBFC Fredericia · Superliga€350k
- GammelbyRBSilkeborg IF · Superliga€350k
- WarmingRWLyngby Boldklub · Superliga€350k
- HujberRBVejle Boldklub · Superliga€350k
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · midfielders€350k
- StaikosDMAE Larisa · midfielders€350k
- JuanpiAMVolos NFC · midfielders€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · midfielders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).