FairValue

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Zivko

Zivkovic

GKSerbia · Panetolikos

№ 51161Emerging €61k +0.21

Player dossierSuper League

ZivkoZivkovic

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Panetolikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Serbia
Age
37
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zivkovic at €75k. Model A, which never saw Zivkovic during training, estimates €61k: the market value is 23% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €103k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.21A €61k▼ −0.32B €103k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
5
Minutes
450
Started
5/5
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zivkovic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €75k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €75kModel A €61k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Zivko Zivkovic's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 32nd1stMinutes62ndStarts17thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2007
Peak
€1M
May 2018
Model target
€75k
Jun 2026
Valuations
36
6 club changes
Jun 2026€75kPanetolikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €75k, Panetolikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-10-07€100kFK Teleoptik Zemun
2008-02-27€125kFK Teleoptik Zemun
2009-02-22€200kFK Metalac Gornji Milanovac
2009-10-25€475kFK Metalac Gornji Milanovac
2010-04-21€600kFK Metalac Gornji Milanovac
2011-11-21€450kFK Metalac Gornji Milanovac
2012-05-02€300kFK Metalac Gornji Milanovac
2013-04-18€300kFK Partizan Belgrade
2013-11-25€300kFK Partizan Belgrade
2014-11-11€300kFK Partizan Belgrade
2015-06-15€600kFK Partizan Belgrade
2015-11-23€700kFK Partizan Belgrade
2016-05-29€500kFK Partizan Belgrade
2016-12-21€500kXanthi FC
2017-05-11€900kXanthi FC
2017-12-18€900kXanthi FC
2018-05-22€1MXanthi FC
2018-12-07€700kXanthi FC
2019-05-21€700kXanthi FC
2019-12-18€1MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-04-08€800kPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-08-04€800kPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-10-12€1MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-02-12€1MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-11-01€800kPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-02-22€600kPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-06-09€450kPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-11-07€450kPAOK Thessaloniki
2023-05-22€400kPAOK Thessaloniki
2023-12-20€300kPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-05-30€250kPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-09-24€175kAnorthosis Famagusta
2024-12-09€150kAnorthosis Famagusta
2025-05-29€125kAnorthosis Famagusta
2025-12-12€100kPanetolikos
2026-06-04€75kPanetolikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.206

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 1% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€75kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€75kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zivkovic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).