FairValue

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Portrait of Anthony Gordon

Anthony

Gordon

LWEngland · Newcastle United

№ 503733World Class €40.6M +0.47

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

AnthonyGordon

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Newcastle United
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
25
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gordon at €65M. Model A, which never saw Gordon during training, estimates €40.6M: the market value is 60% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €12.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.47A €40.6M▲ +1.62B €12.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
83
Minutes
5,472
Goals
24
Assists
11
Started
65/83
Min / app
66
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gordon…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €65M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €65MModel A €40.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Anthony Gordon's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 76th, Assists per 90 63rd, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 76th76thGoals63rdAssists94thMinutes81stStarts94thRecent76thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,472 this player2,242 attacker median94th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1.5M
Dec 2019
Peak
€65M
Mar 2025
Model target
€65M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€65MNewcastle UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €65M, Newcastle United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-12-10€1.5MEverton FC
2020-04-08€1.3MEverton FC
2020-07-30€5MEverton FC
2020-10-13€5MEverton FC
2021-03-10€5MPreston North End
2021-12-23€8MEverton FC
2022-03-29€16MEverton FC
2022-06-15€20MEverton FC
2022-09-15€40MEverton FC
2022-11-03€40MEverton FC
2023-06-20€35MNewcastle United
2023-07-12€38MNewcastle United
2023-10-09€45MNewcastle United
2023-12-19€50MNewcastle United
2024-05-27€60MNewcastle United
2024-12-16€60MNewcastle United
2025-03-18€65MNewcastle United
2025-05-30€65MNewcastle United
2025-12-09€60MNewcastle United
2026-06-03€65MNewcastle United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.472

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 93% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€65MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 98% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€65MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gordon appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).