Eduardo
Guerrero
Player dossierPremier Liha
EduardoGuerrero
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Dynamo Kyiv
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Panama
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Guerrero at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Guerrero during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 102% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 59
- Minutes
- 2,614
- Goals
- 10
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 28/59
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Guerrero…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
13% this player0% attacker median75th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- May 2019
- Peak
- €3M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €2.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €2.5M, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-23 | €150k | Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 |
| 2019-12-28 | €150k | Beitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam |
| 2020-07-07 | €200k | Beitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam |
| 2020-12-26 | €200k | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2021-05-29 | €350k | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2021-12-31 | €350k | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2022-06-04 | €350k | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 2022-12-20 | €250k | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 2023-03-28 | €300k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2023-06-21 | €600k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2023-12-11 | €800k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2024-06-06 | €1.2M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2024-07-19 | €1.8M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2024-09-12 | €2.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2024-12-17 | €2.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-06-10 | €2M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-09-10 | €2.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-12-18 | €3M | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2026-06-02 | €2.5M | Dynamo Kyiv |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.702
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 89% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Guerrero appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BuyalskyiAMDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€2.5M
- KabaevLWDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€2.5M
- MarlonCBShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€2.5M
- MykhaylichenkoLBPolissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liha€2.5M
- KramaricSSTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · attackers€2.5M
- AubameyangCFOlympique Marseille · attackers€2.5M
- ZapataCFTorino FC · attackers€2.5M
- PléaCFPSV Eindhoven · attackers€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).

